Nikon Z System News and Commentary

News and commentary appropriate to Nikon Z system users. Latest post on top.
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Nikon Firmware/Software Updates

Nikon today released version 5.10 firmware for the Z9 camera. The two big features are (1) the ability to set shutter angle (perversely referenced as Shutter mode) so that motion blur remains the same no matter what the frame rate, and (2) the ability to change the color of Zebra stripes as well as the transparency and position of on-screen brightness displays (histogram, waveforms). Smaller changes impact Hi-res Zoom and other changes related to upcoming PZ lenses. 

A number of fixes were done, as well, including two that caused some of the "hung camera" problems when taking bursts of images.

Along with the new Z9 firmware, Nikon also updated NX Mobile Air so that it will directly support Adobe's Frame.io when connected to a Z6III, Z8, or Z9 camera. This feature is not in today's update to version 1.3.2 on iOS; only Android users are currently supported.

The Screw-drive Rumors Return

#20 is the F-mount's screw-drive mechanism, so called because it looks like the head of a Phillips screwdriver. While not talked about as much, #16 is a tab that is used with manual focus AI lenses, and could also be part of a new FTZ adapter. (Image is from Complete Guide to the Nikon D6)


The background When Nikon introduced the Z System, they also introduced an FTZ adapter so that DSLR users could use their existing lenses with the new mirrorless system. The problem with the FTZ adapter was simple: it didn't autofocus with all DSLR autofocus lenses; you could mount a screw-drive lens, but it wouldn't autofocus on a Z System camera. 

Screw-drive lenses are ones which don't have a motor built into the lens (AF-I, AF-S, and AF-P lenses do have such a motor). Instead, they require the camera to have a lens focus motor, and it is engaged via a shaft that extends through the camera's lens mount into the lens (the screw-drive). 

A number of significant lenses were left in the cold by the lack of screw-drive support: 17-35mm f/2.8, 20mm f/2.8, 24mm f/2.8, 28-70mm f/2.8, 35-70mm f/2.8, 80-200mm f/2.8, 105mm f/2 DC, 135mm f/2 DC, 180mm f/2.8, and the 200mm f/4 Micro-Nikkor. One DX lens also needs to be added to that "significant" list: the 10.5mm f/2.8. I use "significant" to describe these lenses as they don't exist in AF-S (F-mount) or Z-mount form, and were in use by a large number of DSLR owners. 

Complaints about no screw-drive support were instantaneous, and not really addressed by Nikon subsidiaries or executives, despite being asked repeatedly about whether such support would ever appear.

This wasn't the first time this lack of support has happened. Back when the D40 was introduced in 2006, Nikon took out the screw-drive mechanism, and that was true for pretty much all subsequent truly consumer DSLRs made afterwards; only the prosumer and pro DSLRs had in-camera focus motors and the necessary screw-drive mechanism. The complaints about the FTZ were basically the same as they were with the D40 and subsequent consumer DSLRs, and Nikon's lack of real response to those complaints was the same, as well.

The rumor About 10 days ago, a post in China resurfaced the rumor that Nikon is preparing an FTZ adapter that supports lenses that require a camera motor, the so-called screw-drive lenses that were typical in the early D era. This was quickly followed with a more specific post that said "Nikon [will] announce a Z-mount adapter for [screw-drive] lenses next year." As usual, this was picked up first in Japan by sites such a Digicame-info, and then onto other sites such as Nikon Rumors. From there, threads on the usual fora started appearing about the rumor, often with the same participants who've been asking for such an adapter for six years.

The discussion Nikon has long been the top interchangeable lens camera brand with deep legacy support (Pentax would be the other, but didn't have the market share Nikon had in the digital age). But that legacy support has not been complete. A number of dead ends exist in Nikon's technology over their history, but I'd say that getting rid of screw-drive is probably the most important and most contentious. 

People buy lenses to specific purpose. A good case in point are the two DC lenses or the 200mm f/4 Micro-Nikkor. These provide unique abilities that have not resurfaced in an AF-I, AF-S, AF-P, or Z-mount lens. Not being able to use these lenses to full potential with your latest camera is problematic, and in essence violates the whole notion of interchangeable lens mount. People want the lens look they paid for, but they also want to move with the times and get current technology cameras.

The "easy pickings" for Nikon are over at this point. In my surveys of long-time DSLR owners I find three groups: (1) convinced they'll stay DSLR and forego mirrorless; (2) want to give up DSLR but won't until the products they use are in the mirrorless world; and (3) those that have either already dipped a toe into the Z System or embraced it fully. #3 was the easy pickings. The next easiest picking is finding a new customer entirely, which Nikon's marketing isn't always up to the challenge of doing, though it's had a few modest successes at that recently. 

That #2 group is hung up with something that wasn't brought over from the film/DSLR legacy. The number one and number two answers about what that is are: (a) no D7500 or D500; and (b) no screw-drive lens support. That list used to include (c) no D5/D6, (d) no D850, (e) no Df, and a few other things, but Nikon has picked most of those off and transitioned those folk to mirrorless pretty successfully. I know that Nikon does surveys similar to mine, so they must know all this (though they survey the full spectrum of customers and I mostly survey what would be called prosumer users).

So the question becomes is Nikon really going to go after (a) and (b) now? To some degree, the Z50II is poking into (a) territory (I'll have much more to say on that when my review of the camera is done). Now we once again have the resurfacing of a rumor about (b). 

Here's my problem (and Nikon's): Nikon is no longer selling those screw-drive lenses. Yes, you can still get some of them new via hanging inventory, but I'm pretty sure that manufacturing is done for them. Thus, Nikon doesn't get as big a bang for their buck by producing an FTZ-screw-drive adapter today as they would have six years ago. Putting such an adapter on the market in 2025 really only lets a few folk pull a lens they already own off their shelf to use, and an even fewer number of folk would buy new Z System bodies because they could now transition properly. 

Thus, there has to be a discussion of whether an FTZ-screw-drive adapter is still a "viable product." By that I mean, once you account for all R&D and move-into-production costs, do you get enough return on investment (ROI) back to justify it? If you believe you can get a higher ROI doing something else with that same money and assets, a company the size of Nikon* is should do that, instead. 

True, there's the buzz-worthiness of such a product to account for (e.g. "Nikon still treats its legacy customers well."), but Nikon has turned into a company that's exceptionally efficient at generating profit on investment. The company is no longer chasing market share, bragging rights, or completeness; instead it's creating product lines everywhere that are efficient at driving financial return.

So do we believe the rumors, or not? 

I believe that Nikon has had a working version of an FTZ-screw-drive adapter for some time. I once heard a credible story out of Tokyo about a photographer I won't name having tested it. It's not engineering that's keeping such an adapter off the market. It really all drives back to ROI. How many would Nikon sell, and what's the GPM? I don't know the latter number, but my surveys say that the first number isn't as high as some seem to think. 

My conclusion is simple: Nikon could come out with such a product. Only the bean counters in Tokyo know whether or not they should, or not. On the impossible-to-certain continuum**, an FTZ-screw-drive adapter comes in at "possible." 

__________________

* I knew that description would get a rise out of you. For the current year Nikon Imaging is forecasting total sales of US$2b with a 15.4% profit return. A US$150 product doesn't move the bar much unless it sells in high quantity. Create too many lower cost, low volume products and you start having problems keeping that profit margin up, as you spread a lot of your existing production, inventory, sales, and marketing efforts over products that are not bringing the same level of gain. 

** Impossible, improbable, possible, probable, certain.

So How's the Z System Doing?

Long gone are the days when Nikon used to sell millions of cameras a year. Their current fiscal year forecast is that they'll sell 850k interchangeable lens cameras over 12 months (April 2024 thru March 2025). Aligning available CIPA, market share, and Nikon numbers, I'd project that for the year through to March 2025 Nikon will likely have sold somewhere in the neighborhood of 200k DSLRs and 650K mirrorless cameras. The scale keeps shifting every month more towards mirrorless, so that 650K might end up being an understatement, or perhaps a late season DSLR inventory push could move that number briefly upward instead.

It's almost impossible to get verifiable unit sales of the Z cameras on a global basis. The serial number database that most turn to is missing a lot of data, particularly from Asia and China. Since the serial numbers are crowd-sourced from an English-speaking country, it's questionable if it's up to date or fully reflective of the true global situation. However, the US serial number tracking in that database is pretty close to my own, so let's examine that subset for a moment. 

One thing I've been trying to figure out is where the buying energy is in the Z System. Here's what my own US serial number collection suggests the number of units is for each category (I’m leaving off specific numbers because it’s the relative volumes that we need to talk about, not argue about whether the individual numbers accurate to Sigma 6 standards):

bythom 2653

One contention has been that Nikon has only been doing well with the higher end of their lineup. That's usually coupled with statements like "DX isn't important any more" or "Nikon needs to abandon the low end." I've never believed that to be the case, and the more data I look at, the more I'm convinced that DX really has to continue for Nikon to have long-term volume success. Without volume success, the remaining cameras would have to get pricier, making Nikon into a smaller, Leica-like camera company.

Meanwhile, for those waiting for a Z7III, what does the above volume map tell you? At 45mp, the Z8/Z9 is doing significantly better in three years than the six-year history of the Z7 series. Let's chart the same data a little differently, though:

bythom 2654

This volume is a bit more balanced than I would have guessed. Price elasticity of demand (slightly) explains the two right-most columns, but DX is conspicuously underperforming in that respect. Some keep trying to say the DX market is going away and will probably use the above chart to defend their position, but I still contend that it's more a problem with the offerings and lineup. The Zfc, for example, has outsold the Zf about 3:1. The Z50, as a five year old camera that didn't age well was another issue, so we'll see soon if the Z50II with all its Z9-generation benefits changes that. 

Finally, if we target average retail selling prices, we can take that volume and calculate how dollars might have been collected in the US market. I used US$1200 for the Z5 average selling price, US$1800 for the Z6 series, US$2800 for the Z7 series, US$5000 for the Z8/Z9, and US$850 for the DX bodies. Unfortunately, repeated instant rebates and price changes over time makes it so we have pick a mean value, and mine could be off ±10%. Still, there’s a pretty dramatic result:

bythom 2657

These are definitely back-of-the-envelope figures, but still, it might tell you why we got a Z50II sooner than a Z5II and a Z6III before a Z7III.

Nothing in this (admittedly casual) analysis changes my ideas about how Nikon should explore new models. Put simply:

  • Z9II needs to fix the small rough edges, get a better EVF, and up the performance some via an auxiliary AI chip/EXPEED8. 
  • Z8II should go to a higher pixel count sensor to separate a bit from the Z7III and Z9II.
  • Z7III should pick up EXPEED7 and get its Z9-generation refresh as the Z8II moves away from 45mp.
  • Z5II should eventually pick up EXPEED7 and get its Z9-generation refresh, but it's not immediately necessary.
  • Z30II should pick up the Z50II changes that are relevant in order to stay current.

All the other models (Zfc, Zf, Z6III) should probably wait for a new image sensor, one that's more than 24mp or has some other advantage that the current ones don't. Again, this is just my opinion, not necessarily what Nikon will do. 

Nikon has sold enough Z8 and Z9 models to distort the income numbers to the very highest end of their lineup. The excellence of those cameras is part of the "Nikon's back" thoughts many now have. I'm sure the Nikon management team is all grinning at themselves for having pulled off that trick. The trickle down of that technology will have strong effects in DX, a bit less so in the older Z5/Z6/Z7 model lines. 

What everyone is now waiting to see is one of two things: (a) when the Z9 tech gets to their model (Z30, Z5, Z7II); or (b) what the next tech highlight will be (most likely to show up in a Z9II or Z8II, but more on that in another article coming soon). 

The Answer To Your Question

The number one question on the charts this week has to do with how good the Z50II or Z6III is relative to the Z8. A subset also mention the Zf or Z9 when framing their version of the question.

I’m surprised at how effectively Nikon has made an effective continuum here. The goodness of the EXPEED7 processor is truly present on all the cameras using it. Currently that’s Z50II, Zf, Z6III, Z8, and Z9 in order of price. As you work your way up that price chain, you’ll find that limitations and liabilities get removed, at least up to the Z8 level (the Z8 and Z9 are effectively the same camera in different bodies). 

So what are those limitations and liabilities?

Let’s work backwards:

  • Z8 (and Z9)
    1. 45mp. Full frame (FX).
    2. An electronic shutter that’s as good as any mechanical shutter we had in the DSLR era. (1/270 effective)
    3. A very natural looking viewfinder that doesn’t black out and displays continuous live frames unless you’re pushing down into really low light and long shutter speeds. 
    4. A buffer that is infinite until the card fills (at least for JPEG and High efficiency raw files.
  • Z6III
    1. 24mp, with a slight loss of dynamic range at base ISO up to the gain reset. Full frame (FX).
    2. An electronic shutter that is rolling enough to become visible at high motion speeds. (1/70 effective)
    3. An even better nature looking viewfinder, but is no longer displaying live frames above 8 fps mechanical, 15 fps electronic.
    4. A buffer that is 200 images (unless you’re using electronic shutter, where it can be infinite until the card fills).
  • Zf
    1. 24mp. Full frame (FX).
    2. An electronic shutter that has a high degree of rolling. (1/20 effective)
    3. A very natural looking viewfinder, but which is no longer displaying live frames above about 8 fps.
    4. A maximum 200 image buffer.
  • Z50II
    1. 20mp. APS-C frame (DX).
    2. An electronic shutter with visible rolling shutter. (1/41 effective)
    3. A slightly rougher viewfinder, and one that is no longer live starting about 6 fps.
    4. A buffer that is 200 images (both minimum and maximum)

The Zf introduces the oddity of a completely different set of controls (dials, and no user settings available), but other than that you have a pretty natural progression from top to bottom of the EXPEED7 camera line. 

Many buy solely on point #1 (they want pixels and sensor size). Well, they'll pay the Pixel Tax to do so. 

Personally, from a functional standpoint, I find that point #3 is the one that dictates which camera I use when. In other words, I prefer to use a Z8 (or Z9). The reason I’d use a Z6III or Z50II—I don’t like the dials-oriented Zf design—tends to have to do with packing/carrying size. I’ll give up #2 and #3 to make for a smaller, lighter kit at times. In fact, that’s the only reasons why I’d pick up my Z6III or Z50II over a Z8: I need to go smaller and/or lighter. 

Some folk ask their version of the question I’m answering a different way, usually something like “is the Z50II autofocus system really as good as the Z9’s?” Yes, within the context of #1, #2, and #3. 

Wait, what?

The Z50II autofocus suffers a bit by being DX: the photosites being looked at get less light because they’re a smaller area. While the Z50II photosites are effectively the same size as the Z8’s and Z9’s, the same size focus box in the viewfinder incorporates more such sites on a Z8 and Z9, thus has better discrimination. That information is delivered to the EXPEED7 chip more consistently in the Z8/Z9, too (#3).

The Zf, Z6III, and Z50II all suffer a bit in autofocus performance as you push frame rates way up, partly because of rolling shutter, partly because you’re no longer see a live view of the scene, but rather a slightly lagged slide show. Which means you can’t keep the camera as steady on a moving subject. The Z50II and Zf suffer the most, the Z6III is relatively good right up to the point where you try to extract every last frame out of its Release mode settings.

Ironically, the Z8/Z9 are the best camera for the amateur that wants “everything auto” but wants to push the boundaries of performance in frame rate. The Z50II is the camera that the highly disciplined pro will get more out of than most users. To give an analogy, the Z8/Z9 is like giving the amateur a big block V8 with automatic transmission, while the Z50II is more like a straight 4 with manual transmission. A professional driver in the straight 4 will likely still beat the amateur with the V8 on a tough road course. To put that one more way: if you know nothing about the Nikon system and I hand you a Z8 set to Auto-area AF with subject detection, I’ll get more keepers than you with a Z50II that I’m near frantically controlling. 

Nikon’s progression here from Z50II up through Z9 is very impressive. And much more compelling than the more hodge-podge model progressions I see in the other mounts. While you might be able to find a feature here and there that is different between the Nikon models—where’s HEIF in the Z9, for instance, or sensor VR in the Z50II?—it’s pretty amazing how consistently deep and wide the feature set of all EXPEED7 generation cameras is. It appears that Nikon heard my (and your) complaints about limitations that were paternally imposed on the original Z6 and Z7.

So, how good is a Z50II compared to a Z6III? Or a Z6III compared to a Z8? Really good. However, in the key areas I outlined above, you will find clear differences, and those differences may be of importance to you. The Goldilocks solution is sort of the Z6III. But I’m impressed with what the US$910 Z50II does; I don’t know any other similarly priced camera that can match it when set and handled correctly. 

Nikon gave you choices. Nikon’s not very good at marketing the differences between those choices, but I find them to be pretty clear choices that align very correctly to price, as the differences come primarily in key performance categories centered around frame rate and viewfinder. 

Moreover, you can now scale that body performance with lens performance. For wildlife photography, for instance:

  • Z50II with 28-400mm f/4-8 VR.
  • Z6III with 180-600mm f/4.5-6.3 VR.
  • Z8 with any of the exotics (e.g. from 400mm f/4.5 VR S to 800mm f/6.3 VR S). 

Nicely done, Nikon. (Yes, I do praise them sometimes ;~)

New Zfc Styles Are Available in the US

bythom Zfc Heralbony

Nikon today announced that the Zfc camera is now available in four limited edition Heralbony styles. Heralbony is a Japanese organization that works with challenging the perceptions the disabled, and these designs were picked from a licensed collection of original art created by neurodiverse artists. 

These optional Zfc styles are now available in limited release in the US for US$1199.95 (includes kit lens) at the NikonUSA store.

From left to right, the designs are “Cone Flower” by Masahiro Fukui,  “Yurinoyoakeri ” by Masaharu Honda, “Samba” by Momoko Eguchi, and “Joyful Time” by Teppei Kasahara.

It’s Not the Camera That’s the Problem

“Hit rate.” That’s been long a topic on the Internet fora, and probably the most contentious of all the autofocus discussions you’ll encounter. It came up as a question on my bird walks in LA on Black Friday, too.

Way back in the early days of DSLRs we started hearing this term. At the time we also had one good source of repeatable focus testing across early pro bodies: Rob Galbraith. He tested sprinters running directly at the camera, and he was consistent in both his setup and his analysis of the resulting frames. But even then, if he reported 70% accuracy from one camera (hit rate) and 75% from another, looking at the raw data might tell you that things probably shouldn’t be reduced to simple numbers like that. 

Why? Because in some cases, the missed images are far out of focus, in others they’re nearly in focus. That’s the difference between a perhaps salvageable image and one that’s going to be binned by everyone.

You can see this in action today with dpreview's biker images. While not perfectly repeatable, it does tend to show something that Galbraith, myself, and others have all noticed over the years: variability. I often have problems when dpreview states something like “10 of 11 images were in focus” when, in actuality, the focus plane was not where it should be (eye of the biker) on all 11 frames. It was just “close.” 

Which leads us back to “hit rate” claims. 

From a working professional’s standpoint there are two aspects to this: (1) did I get usable, salable images? and (2) did I get “the moment” captured in perfect focus? We all aspire to #2, but we get paid for consistently delivering #1. 

I would argue that any of the top pro cameras—Canon R1/R3, Nikon Z8/Z9, Sony A1/A9—and even many of the prosumer models under them could allow any pro who takes the time to learn and master their gear to attain #1 consistently and often get #2. Your mileage may differ.

This last bit leads me to one of my oft-stated points: autofocus performance is what you make of it, not what the camera does via AI algorithms. Every one of the top pro cameras I’ve used benefits from some user control of the focus system. Every one. Set the camera to all automatic and just point it hither and yon, and you maybe randomly get #1 and it’ll be rare you get #2. Understand and take control of the focus system and you should consistently get #1, and how often you attain #2 will improve dramatically. 

Do I track my “hit rate”? No. I can tell you this, though: when I’m on my game and actively controlling my camera, it’s insanely high. If either of those things don’t apply, then it’s dramatically lower. The first day on safari in Botswana it is usually lower than it is a couple of days later when I’m fully engaged in just getting great animal photos. 

Thus, asking someone what their autofocus hit rate is actually tells you almost nothing about the camera they’re using. Curiously, that seems to be the reason why everyone asks the question; they believe that some cameras are better than others and that is automatically transferred to the user. But it’s really how good the photographer understands and controls the focus system and how well they handle the camera while doing it that’s important. 

Which brings me to a question that came up several times during my LA appearances: is the Z50II autofocus system really as good as the Z9’s? We’re talking about a US$910 camera versus a US$5500 one, so there has to be a difference, right? My answer doesn’t always get accepted, at least until I demonstrate. For instance, I was using my Z50II next to a Z9 user while photographing a hawk in a branchy tree. Why was I getting focus on the eye and he wasn’t? ;~) Let’s walk through the possibilities: EXPEED? Nope, both cameras have the same EXPEED7 chip and the same autofocus capabilities. Image sensor? No, not really. I’m convinced at this point that Nikon has demonstrated that their AF algorithms work on all the image sensors they’ve deployed it on, and if I were judging the very small difference in performance, the Zf would be the worst, the Z50II and Z6III remarkably close one slight step up, and the Z8 and Z9 just a wee step further. Even after my first session with the Z50II I was convinced that its autofocus system was pretty much matching my pro cameras, and nothing has changed my mind on that.

That’s not to say that you just take these cameras out of the box and get the same results. This is where it gets subtle, and you pay a lot of money to get some subtle advantages. The thing you really have to get around on the Z50II isn’t the focus system, but rather the EVF and the shutter interactions. These make the Z50II a more difficult camera to control focus on with a rapidly moving subject at high frame rates. For that hawk sitting in the tree, no difference. 

I’m going to have to write quite a bit more about the above when I provide my review of the Z50II, as it’s the most important thing to understand about the camera. But again, it’s a US$910 camera, and I’m getting a level of focus out of it that matches my Z9 most of the time. It’s just that there are situations where I have to accept something less than what the Z9 can provide (typically anything over 8 fps or any shutter speed over 1/4000). 

I think it’s time for another of my strongly worded straw men: if you’re not getting consistently good autofocus out of any current full frame mirrorless camera, it’s not the camera that’s the problem. 

___________

Bonus: I should probably talk about “salvageable.” With today’s post processing capabilities, near-missed focus is “fixable,” though you need to be careful to avoid telltale artifacts created by your sharpening tools. I’ve “corrected” missed focus by as much as 3 or 4” on 400mm images at times, but to do this usually requires Photoshop, the right additional tools, and a lot of selection and masking. Missing focus by an inch or less can sometimes be “fixed” via a global operation, though if you’re using a product such as TopazLabs Sharpen AI, you need to watch closely for unwanted artifacts (hint: don’t use their standard method, but try the other ones instead). 

Salvageable also interacts with output size. For social media, Web, newspaper, and other uses that don’t need a lot of pixels, even just the act of downsizing from 45mp to 2mp (FullHD and social media size) can often make slightly missed focus not at all obvious. It’s when you’re trying to print big or an organization asks for a 4K-sized image (8-12mp) that you have to pay more attention. 

Hmm. This just triggered another article idea. I work with pros who have very different standards. I’m upset if I haven’t squeezed every bit of acutance out of my gear that they’re capable of. I know one pro who’s satisfaction level is simply “my photo editor used my image.” There’s a lot of "in between" we can talk about. 

Things to Do With Your New Z50II

Now that some of you have your Z50II in hand, the questions I tend to get have to not so much do with how does it work or does it do X, but rather how you should configure it. 

Here's a few short bits to consider:

  • PHOTO SHOOTING menu — Everything (other than focus and release mode, which I'll deal with separately, below) here is pretty straightforward. However, if you're picking any Image quality that includes RAW, make sure you go to RAW recording and select Lossless compressed. Why? Because you still may have a converter that doesn't understand the High efficiency modes. I tend to also suggest you get out of the Autos (no Auto ISO, no Auto Picture Control, no Auto white balance) and take more control over what the camera is doing. That's particularly important as you try to learn what the camera is doing, as Auto functions make it difficult to understand what's doing what.
  • VIDEO RECORDING menu — If you're going to record video, the key here is to first set Video file type, then set Frame size/frame rate. That's because certain options in the latter aren't available for what you select with the former. To get full exposure control in video, remember you have to be Manual exposure mode (M). 
  • CUSTOM SETTING menu — #A6 is where you set Back Button Focus (make sure to go one right Direction pad press further and set Enable. #A7 has to be on to enable AF-area mode handoffs (Hybrid Button Focus). In #A10 I suggest you set the border width to 2. If you're going to use Pre-release capture, you need to set the options in #D3. #D6 will interact with release mode. If you want the up to 15-minute long shutter speeds in S and M exposure modes, you need to set #D7. I'll leave the #F1, #F2, and #F3 customization options to you, but I'd tend to start without them and use your first sessions to figure out what you want exposed upwards into a physical control. These three functions are the gold mine for getting your Z50II working the way you want it to.
  • PLAYBACK menu — You might want to set Picture review to On (monitor only) or Off.
  • SETUP menu — There's a lot here you'll want to review as soon as you can, but for your early basic photography, nothing that's a "gotta do." Distance units to feet if you're American, Save focus position to On, Save zoom position (PZ lenses) to On, plus setting Image comment and Copyright information should be on your to-do list at some point. I like Self-portrait mode to Off and Slot empty release lock to Release locked
  • NETWORK menu — If you're going to use Nikon Imaging Cloud, SnapBridge, or the ML-L7 remote, you'll need to spend time configuring those here. 

Okay, that's the main menu items you want to deal with, but there's two big things that people are asking me about, autofocus settings and release mode options.

The autofocus setting questions tend to all come from people using AF-C. AF-S is pretty straightforward, and a lot of folk using that just pick Single-point AF, put the cursor on the subject, focus (and if using Back Button Focus) reframe, and take the image. Heck, if you're using the rear LCD to compose, you can configure the touch controls so that you just tap and the camera focuses there and takes the image instantly. 

My usual advice with AF-C and subject detection is "start wide and narrow." That means Auto-area AF and AF/MF subject detection options to Auto. Start first by narrowing the subject detection (say to People or Animal or Birds, depending upon what you're photographing) [by the way, Nikon, why is animal singular and people and birds plural?]

Once you understand how the subject detection works, then start narrowing the area that is being contemplated. Create the widest possible area in Wide-area AF (C1) and start there, then try Wide-area AF (L), then get to Wide-area AF (S). Nikon's "wide" defaults with the Z50II works pretty well, but you'll eventually get better results by narrowing the camera's choices and taking some control. That's the point of "start wide and narrow": learn what the camera does and then see how you can manipulate it to do even better.

Release mode is probably going to be the most contentious of Z50II subjects, partly because it's a US$909 camera. If you're expecting the Z8/Z9 no finder blackout and no rolling shutter goodness here, you're dreaming. The Z50II, Z6III, and Z8 actually scale pretty naturally upwards in capability when it comes to release mode and your view in the finder. I'll be going over this in much more detail in my Black Friday talk at Creative Photo Academy, but you're likely to want to pick a compromise capability on the Z50II. Electronic first-curtain shutter does pretty well at Continuous H, but you only get 7.9 fps when taking raw images (8.3 fps with JPEG). While EXPEED7 is obviously up to the task of keeping up with a camera's top capabilities, the Z50II's shortfall is that its image sensor isn't. I'm actually a little surprised at how much Nikon has squeezed out of the 20.9mp sensor, but it's not blackout free without drawbacks at 11 fps, 15 fps, or 30 fps as it would be with a Z8 or Z9. 

Since release mode interacts with focus on a camera with a mechanical shutter, you're going to have to experiment a bit to see where you might want to set the Z50II for action. Again, I'll have more to say about this at my Black Friday talk.

Bonus: Nikon updated the firmware for the 16-50mm f/3.5-6.3 kit lens today (version 1.02). This fixes one of the dreaded error messages that kept coming up wanting you to press the shutter release to reset the camera.

As for all those questions about books: yes, I'll have a separate Z50II book. No I don't have an ETA.

A Change in SnapBridge

With the release of SnapBridge 2.12.0 this week, you're going to see a prompt when it updates that is raising eyebrows: you're asked to agree to the use of Adobe Analytics

It appears that Nikon is now using Adobe Analytics to understand its users and what they're doing in SnapBridge. However, as in most cases of collecting data, there are privacy issues you need to be aware of. While the data is not individually identified, SnapBridge is now collecting location data, browsing data, device data, IP address, and information about what you're doing in SnapBridge.

While the statement "These data are collected in a form that does not allow identification of individual users," those of us who've been around the net since the beginning know that by correlating this kind of data set against other databases we might have access to we may actually be able to identify individuals. 

Nikon claims that this new function will enable them to make improvements on an ongoing basis. Perhaps. I should note that I was able to leave that dialog box unchecked and still have a functioning SnapBridge, so despite the appearances that this is required, it probably is optional.

Most software companies do indeed want to monitor usage statistics in some way. That's not the issue here. Many use third party services to do so, which is what has apparently changed in the new SnapBridge release (I don't remember this coming up in the past).

Adobe privacy policy

Given the Z50II, Wither the Z70/Z90?

Given that the Z50II gets pretty much all the goodness trickled down from the Z9 with EXPEED7, that changes the equation for any "higher end" DX cameras Nikon might make. The additional features that would be necessary for, say, a Z70 model, have all simplified down to:

  • More megapixels. Competitors to a higher-than-Z50II are essentially the Canon R7 and Fujifilm X-H2S. Both those have more pixels. To compete with them, Nikon would need a new (and very fast) image sensor with more pixels.
  • Faster read-out speed. The Z50II is going to bend hummingbird wings when using electronic shutter, so the top-end users are going to want a faster electronic shutter. That goes with the first bullet to combine as "new image sensor."
  • Sensor stabilization. A slightly tricky bullet, as most of the lenses that the high-end APS-C customers are using tend to be telephoto (for birding, wildlife, sports), and Nikon has VR in its telephoto lens set. One might argue that Syncho VR type performance would give higher CIPA numbers, but frankly, we lived very happily in the two-axis VR world for quite some time. A fast mid-range zoom with VR would be necessary for any Z70+ camera, though.
  • Faster/More cards. The Z50II has the old fixed 200-frame buffer limit, and it doesn't provide backup capabilities. Most higher end users would want unlimited buffer and two slots, which means CFe+SD in a smaller body.

That's pretty much it. Yes, I can think of plenty of other things that could be added/improved, but those four things would be the primary ones that a high-end APS-C (DX) customer would be looking for that the Z50II doesn't have. Without the above four bulleted items, a Z70/Z90 needn't exist.

Here's the problem: new image sensor R&D cost has to be returned via volume sales. Ditto Sensor VR in a smaller body, though that's probably not nearly as big an expense. Nevertheless, the question becomes whether the expected volume of such a camera could justify those expenses. Given the Z6III having all those things (though at a higher price point than a top DX would likely be), I'd say no. 

I can imagine a lot of ways the DX lineup could have gone. Nikon seems to be sticking with their original plans here, and that doesn't seem to include a high-end model; they want to push users to FX for that. The fact that all three current models are based off the same image sensor and most of the same supporting technology—EXPEED7 needs to eventually make it to as many cameras as possible to lower its R&D cost per unit, so I see it coming to Z30II and ZfcII someday—seems to indicate that Nikon is trying to minimize DX R&D costs. That says "no new models, and likely no new image sensor until absolutely necessary."

That's now my prediction until something convinces me otherwise: the Z50II is the top-end of DX for the foreseeable future.

Nikon Wonders Why We Don't Use Things

bythom 2650


Nikon Imaging Cloud apparently isn't going as well as Nikon thought it would. Yep, Thom is about to get out his poison pen again...

First up, of course, is that there is really only one camera that serves up Nikon Imaging Cloud (NIC), and that's the Z6III. Sales of that model have been decent, but they're not causing an avalanche of users storming the service. So of course NIC isn't getting much usage. That Z6III purchaser also has a few other things to deal with before moving on to considering NIC, such as learning a whole new focus system and dealing with new image formats (HEIF, High efficiency raw, etc.) and a bunch of other important things that you want your camera to do. Nikon's marketing certainly hasn't promoted NIC well enough that it would be the first thing that a user starts trying. 

We have three bits to discuss: getting connected, sending images, and grabbing recipes.

Getting Connected
The issues start here, as you might expect. I understand that Nikon is trying to provide security (both for you and them), but the sign-up and connection process is fraught with "we do it different and you'd better dot all i's and cross all t's even when we aren't clear about whether there are i's and t's". It's actually much more difficult to get NIC configured than it is connecting to SnapBridge the first time, if you can believe that. 

And then this: once I had an account, I didn't use it for awhile. When I finally went back to get my Z6III reconnected I had to once again jump through a lot of setup hoops, some of which led to URL errors at NIC. Oops. Apple's ease at connecting things makes Nikon look like a true beginner. I guess they are.

As one reader pointed out, there's another bit here: you can't be using SnapBridge at the same time as Nikon Imaging Cloud, so you can't take GPS-tagged photos that immediately head to the cloud. 

Sending Images
Surprisingly the most direct bit of NIC. Well, direct if you manage to go through the painful steps of getting your destination configured properly (do this now, and once; don't wait until you're on vacation). It's not completely transparent as to the steps you go through to, say, to allow images from your Z6III to get to Microsoft OneDrive. During the setup OneDrive will step in and ask for sign-in and permissions, and Nikon's wording isn't always clear as to what to do next (hint: follow the arrows). Once you do manage the connection setup, things do become relatively seamless. The only problem is that there doesn't seem to be a way to configure folders that images should go to, so you're going to end up with a pile of images all in one spot over on your cloud if you photograph prolifically.

Recipes
We have a short list of available Picture Control Recipes so far. Thirteen creators most of which have only one or two choices. But right up front we have the problem: Nikon shows you the creators first. I'm pretty sure you've never heard of them. Moreover, you're probably not interested in personality first, you're interested in what the actual Recipe does. 

So click on a creator and you...get more about the creator, often in flowery and exaggerated prose. Look closer and you'll see what Recipes names they've created. I clicked on one at random: +100 Contrast, +54 Highlight, +33 Shadow! You might have guessed that from (terrible) sample image NIC shows, as it is blown out and way laden with excessive contrast. But can you see what the scene would have looked like with the Standard Picture Control by comparison? Nope. Apparently it's more important to tell you when the photo was taken and at what focal length with which Nikon lens. 

In some Recipes, the Flexible Color changes are all simply listed as Custom Curve, which provides you no real information about what is being changed. So coupled with not being able to see the before/after comparison, and you're basically shooting in the dark (literally in the case of one Recipe). Thus, to make any meaningful decision, you have to download the Recipe to your camera and do your own before/after comparison. Yeah, like the folk that this feature was intended for really have the time to do lab work.

That's especially true—your having to do the lab work—because some details about the Flexible Color changes are missing. The Bleach Blue Recipe, for instance, is manipulating color, but Nikon's details for the Picture Control do not document or show any of the color manipulation (other than Saturation -43, which I guess is part of the bleach.

Apparently Nikon's engineers came up with this geeky thing (Recipes) and then got an intern to go out, find some "influencers", and provide a few simplistic examples. I find the results pretty much 100% unprofessional and nearly 100% unusable. 

Then there's the process of getting the Recipes to the camera. You'd think you could do that directly as you browse the Recipes—if you can call the process Nikon provides browsing, which I think is being overly generous—but no, there are once again intermediary steps. 

Thing is, the process will work, once you understand that n-step procedure. That makes everything even more frustrating. If I were to provide a Recipe or two to Nikon, for instance, you could get it to your camera through your Wi-Fi connection just fine, but I'd have to have a full page step-by-step handholding page to help you do that. I could email it to you easier. Ugh.

Detail is in the Execution
So once again we have Nikon basically doing the right thing, but doing it the wrong way(s). There's a ton of friction that the potential NIC user needs to fight through to get a few simple things working. Fortunately, the basic passthrough to a cloud service does function, though that's really all that's happening that's probably of interest to most. 

Which brings me to this: like SnapBridge, Nikon Imaging Cloud is a baby that's taking first steps (and teeters at times). The problem is that SnapBridge didn't grow up, and now we probably have to face the same thing with Nikon Imaging Cloud. Meanwhile, we have NX MobileAir and Nikon Image Service, also babies that haven't grown up (and want our money!). I feel like I'm running a nursery, not a photo business. 

To say today that Nikon is poor at mobile and Web software is to say that the Pope is still Catholic. Whoever is in charge of this mess in Tokyo needs to be promoted to an office with a window. I can find college students that can do better.

Given the Z50II, Wither the Z5II?

Hey, a bonus article!

I keep hearing from a lot of people that a Z5II must be next, as it's the next logical first generation domino to be knocked over. I don't know if a Z5II is or isn't coming, but plenty of people do. 

The Z5 is Nikon's entry-level FX model. At US$1000 on sale (as it is now), that's quite a bit of camera for not very much price; it's actually a great introduction to the Nikon Z System. The primary ways the Z5 differs from the Zf and Z6III, the next models up the line, are due to sensor and processor performance, not feature set. However, folk are saying "just drop in the sensor from the Z6II and add the articulating Rear LCD." This misses a point. The reason that the Z5 is US$1000 is that it's using the same sensor that the D600 did back in 2012. That's twelve years of body sales that have reduced the need to recapture R&D costs down to essentially zilch. Using any newer sensor would increase Nikon's costs, and they'll already be going up due to EXPEED7 itself. 

Meanwhile, there isn't any clear way to de-content the Z5II without raising screams. About the only significant cost-creating part (other than the image sensor) that the Z5 dropped from the Z6 was the top LCD. What are you going to take out of a Z5II to keep its costs down? The sensor VR mechanism? Nope. A lower-end EVF? Not likely. The headphone jack? Not much of a cost savings.

The Zf is currently US$1800 and the Z6III is US$2300. The Z5's list price is US$1400, which slots decently under those other two 24mp cameras. But without de-contenting the Z5 in some way you'd undercut the Zf for sure by putting the same image sensor and EXPEED7 in a Z5II, and you'd even get similar performance to even the much more expensive Z6III. Thus, a Z5II as everyone seems to be defining it seems like it would be taking money off the table. Can a Z5II really sell enough volume at US$1500 (my guess at a new list price) to mitigate the loss of US$1800 and US$2300 sales? In today's market, I'd say no. And if the Zf and Z6III return to list price after the holiday, I'd double down on that bet.

My point would be that a Z5II needs to remain a clear, price competitive way to enter the Nikon Z FX world. It isn't a camera by which you'd want to make your main money from Z5 users upgrading to a Z5II; you really want those users to upgrade to the 6 level or higher. 

That said, I do now think that Nikon's likely to introduce a Z5II at some point, and probably in 2025. The original camera needs better focus to compete with the Canon R8, for example. The unanswered question is which image sensor would be feeding the EXPEED7 processor in any eventual Z5II. Given that the competition has 4K/60P and 6 fps mechanical shutter with 40 fps electronic, the Z5II will need to up its game at the image sensor, which the Z6II image sensor would provide. Thus, even though I believe that's problematic, it may be the only option for Nikon should they decide that the Z5 needs to join the Z9 generation.

Is the Z50II Really In Short Supply?

Most Western photography sites scrape news from Japanese sites. In re-reporting this "news" sometimes we see exaggerations or misleading statements being made. 

What happened on November 12th was that Nikon Direct in Japan was receiving more orders than expected, so told its customers that "it might take some time for your order to be delivered." A 10% off coupon was offered to those in Japan wanting to still order. That led to headlines such as "Nikon Japan already warns about Z50II camera supply shortages," which many would interpret as the overall company warning everyone about short supply everywhere. 

Nikon Direct is the online presence of Nikon Imaging Japan. 

One thing I've noted but haven't been able to get any specifics about is that with each new camera release—and even with subsequent shipments—Nikon is carefully allocating units by region. Based on currency valuations and local economy health, Nikon prioritizes putting units where they feel they'll make the most money. Curiously, the home market of Japan has been the one region that seems to be getting short shrift in the past several years. 

This kind of logistical micromanagement has long been in place at Nikon, but in recent years it's become very obvious where the most units tend to go (typically China and North America, sometimes Europe). 

The brick and mortar retailers in Tokyo are not yet reporting shortages (though I suspect some will soon if the Z50II turns out to be truly popular). That said, the only known shortage at the moment is if you want to buy directly from Nikon in Japan. 

The Z Camera Update Timeline

This article has also been posted in Cameras/Z Camera Articles, where it will be updated and maintained.

Predicting Nikon's iteration cycle is currently about as accurate as your friendly Taro card reading. I'll give it a try, anyway. However, since only a few Z System cameras have been updated so far, and because the waits have been variable, my predictions are going to be simple (and potentially wrong). 

Here's what Nikon has done so far in mirrorless:

zsystemupdatecycle


Back in the DSLR era we saw an extended period where consumer cameras iterated every year, while higher models had two year cycles (rotated as small update, big update for the top pro models). In the last ten years that eroded to something less predictable as Nikon scaled back their DSLR efforts and began their concentration on mirrorless. 

It seems likely at this point that most Z System cameras are on perhaps four year update cycles. That would predict:

  • 2028 — Z50III, Z6IV
  • 2027 — ZfII, Z8II
  • 2026 — Z30II
  • 2025 — Z9II, ZfcII (bold indicates likely EXPEED8 cameras)
  • overdue: Z5II, Z7III

When a product is overdue on that prediction cycle it's likely because either Nikon didn't originally plan an update for that model, or they've changed their thinking about that model and are making a major shift in its design approach. It currently seems unlikely that Nikon will discontinue any of the nine current model lines (Zf, Zfc, Z30, Z50, Z5, Z6, Z7, Z8, Z9). But they make substantive shifts in what models do in the future.

I'm on record as predicting:

  • The Z5 may not get an update. Nikon milked the D600 for 10+ years, and the Z5 still has the D600's image sensor, which keeps costs way down. Alternatively, a Z5II wouldn't appear until a Z4 can take its place as a low-cost entry model.
  • The Z7III update is linked with the Z8II update. Both can't be 45mp/EXPEED7 cameras. Scenario #1: Z7III becomes a 61mp+ slow-working landscape/travel camera. Scenario #2: Z7III waits for the Z8II to become fast 61mp+/EXPEED8 camera before it can take over the 45mp/EXPEED7 slot.

A Lot of Subtle Changes on the Site

It doesn't always show in the News/Views or reviews sections, so I thought it would be a good time to remind you that this entire site is a living organism, and in constant change and flux. Besides the 75 News/Views articles and 7 reviews I posted in 2024, the following is also true:

The goal of this site is to provide the most complete, accurate, and up-to-date information for any Nikon Z System user. If you find something that needs fixing or updating, don't hesitate to drop me a line. 

Also: since Nikon has finally realized that Z [space] Model [space] Version doesn't work well with search engines and causes bad line breaks, they've changed their style sheet so that it's now ZModelVersion all bunched together, I've been making that change to this site, as well. Not sure yet what I'm going to do with the books, though books moving forward will use their new styling.

What's the Upgrade Path?

Updated to reflect the Z50 II

For quite some time my general advice to those on the Upgrade Train has been to skip generations. That's tricky with the Z System, as the only cameras for which that really applies right now is the Z6 and Z50! 

Z6 user: yes, a Z6 III is a really solid upgrade choice. Virtually every aspect of the camera has been improved (with the exception of a drop in dynamic range at lower ISO values). And not just improved, but improved (and expanded) by a lot.
Z6 II user: maybe the Z6 III is a reasonable upgrade choice. That all depends upon how much you value three things: better autofocus, better continuous frame capabilities, and viewfinder quality.
Z50 user. despite the similarities, yes, the Z50 II is a reasonable upgrade. The new body design and the Z9 generation goodies all transform the original DX camera into a far better one.

Nikon's missing updates (Z5 II, Z7 III) are starting to cause some concern, as we now have two cameras that are four years old. In addition, exactly where the eventual Z8 and Z9 updates (firmware or hardware) land, as well as what Nikon will do in the future with the dials cameras (Zf, Zfc), is creating additional questioning by those that bought into the Z lineup. 

The past four years have been one or two new model years:

  • 2021 — Zfc, Z9
  • 2022 — Z30
  • 2023 — Z8, Zf
  • 2024 — Z6 III, Z50 II

Five of those were "new" models, and only two were updates. It seems to me that this needs to flip more, right? Nikon needs to find compelling reasons for an existing Z user to move up (e.g. Z30 or Z50 user to Z70 or FX) or to upgrade (e.g. Zfc, Zf, Z5, Z7 II, Z8, or Z9 to what?). 2025 seems to be the year we will get our first real hints at what the long-term strategy really is (or if there is even a strategy). 

Meanwhile, our lens road map was lost at the last GAS stop, and there's no Google Map to replace it. We'll soon reach the "50 lens" mark that Nikon executives talked about, so what happens after that? And why is 2024 so quiet for lenses (and also, why all at a more consumer level)? 

  • 2018 — 3 lenses
  • 2019 — 7 lenses
  • 2020 — 6 lenses
  • 2021 — 9 lenses
  • 2022 — 5 lenses
  • 2023 — 8 lenses
  • 2024 — 3 lenses

At the moment at least, it seems to me that Nikon's 2024 holiday strategy is not really an "upgrade" strategy, despite the Z50 II and Z6 III. Unless, of course, you're still a DSLR user. The problem with that, of course, is that Nikon will also be trying to close out sales of the DSLRs during this season, so they'll be competing with themselves in a way that isn't long-term productive. 

I usually try to give some buying advice going into the big holiday shopping season, but right now it appears that this just boils down to:

  • DSLR users should consider moving to the Z System. But if you haven't already, you're going to be hard to convince.
  • Z5 or Z6 owners should consider the Zf or Z6 III. And yet, for casual one-frame-at-a-time work, that might not be a particularly useful upgrade.
  • Z50 owners should consider the Z50 II. A lot of changes deep inside make the difference, and the new body is better designed, too.
  • Everyone else should just buy some lenses. DX users probably don't have any more to buy. FX users now have to pick from a lot of increasingly overlapping choices. Or you could get Chinese take out (obvious humor point deleted as being ethnically stereotyped).

Myself? I still need to pick up the two f/1.4 primes for testing, but Nikon is not really on my list to Santa this year. Your list may vary.

Funny thing is, I hear through the grapevine that Nikon is wondering why their sales seem to have gone down after the initial Z6 III rush. Well, simple: Nikon didn't address the viral "worse dynamic range" reports from the influencers, and other than the DSLR-to-Z and Z6 to Z6 III upgraders—some of which went with a Zf—Nikon hasn't given the others much to lust over. 

If that grapevine is correct, I expect some better discounting this holiday season from NikonUSA. It may be the only way they meet their sales expectations. 

Of course, there are two new Nikon cameras—we think they're cameras—registered with the governmental regulatory agencies pending. But we're getting close to the go/no go time limit for possible holiday launches (basically the last week of October). Dealers have already committed their cash to what they know they can get; they can't turn on a dime at the last minute. Moreover, given the rumors, what's currently pending in the Nikon launch queue is lower-end products, not the higher-end products that would help Nikon truly make their numbers for the quarter.

Nikon really needs to move a little further and a little faster than they have this year. 

A version of this article will eventually appear in the camera articles section.

What happened to older content? Well, it's now in one of the archive pages, below:

Looking for other photographic information? Check out our other Web sites:
DSLRS: dslrbodies.com | mirrorless: sansmirror.com | general/technique: bythom.com | film SLR: filmbodies.com

text and images © 2024 Thom Hogan
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