Nikon Z System News and Commentary

Oh No, the Zf is Cute

I wander around the net as much as I do the world, which is to say considerably. 

I recently came across an article about four Japanese women who use the Zf for their photography. The thing that immediately struck me is that three of the four made the point to describe one of the Zf's best traits as "being cute." 

I immediately glanced over at the blazing orange Zf sitting on my desk to see if I might think it cute. Well, it makes a statement, I suppose, but apparently I'm only able to recognize cute women, children, and animals, but not cute cameras. You can call that a flaw if you want, but it's the way I'm constructed, so I have to live with it.

The reason I bring this up is because I'm pretty sure at next month's CP+ show in Japan, we're going to once again hear about the camera maker's efforts to expand their markets. They're highly tuned to sales and response within their own home market, so if Japanese women are agreeing amongst themselves that the Zf is cute, then this will likely have some design impact down the line. One way the camera companies have been trying to expand their sales is by finding new markets, and the young and women are two segments that they've had their sights on for awhile now. That the Zfc and now Zf have resonated with Japanese women, has implications for the future.

If you didn't already know, automakers long ago started to understand the gender preferences when it came to transportation. These days we have dude cars trucks and chick cars. If you're driving the wrong one, be prepared to be mocked. 

The thing that strikes me, though, is that I believe that women are more likely to share photos than men. What are the camera companies doing about that? ;~) It's one thing to use external style to appeal to an audience, it's a whole other thing to actually deliver the functionality they desire. (Aside: back in 1980 when I added a section called Functionality to a national publication's review section, the copy editors and some readers chastised me for misusing the word function. No, function is the description of what the thing does, while functionality speaks to its suitability in performing that function. Technically, the Zf has a SnapBridge function, but does that actually have truly useful functionality in sharing photos?)

While all of you are waiting for this year's Nikon Z System introductions, you should know that those were cast in stone quite some time ago. What's happening this time of year in Tokyo will define what products we see in 2025, and more importantly, 2026 and later. In other words, the 2024 products are already in progress and locked in; they are what management decided back in 2022 and early 2023. The 2025 products are currently getting weeded down from all the mules and prototypes being evaluated. The 2026 and later products may get completely rethought based upon things that are being learned about the market today. 

Nikon's management style is Top Down Consensus. They also use the last quarter of their fiscal year to look at results and make decisions about their future. In other words, right now there are planning meetings going on in Tokyo where a consensus is attempted to be drawn within the organization. As that consensus becomes clearer, the top management then locks that in and makes it the marching orders for everyone. The Zfc and now Zf have been considerably successful in Japan, and in particular have opened up new avenues into the young and female audience. That's going to be one of the talking points in all those planning consensus meetings. 

Don't worry Z9 users. Management knows that not a single news agency or professional buys high end product because it's cute. However, I do believe that the successes of the Zfc and Zf are now locking in some future design tendencies for at least part of the Z line. There will be another cute camera from Nikon, no doubt. Maybe we'll get some cute lenses, too ;~).

More Updates

First up, we have firmware update for the Z5 (1.42), Z6 II (1.61), and Z7 II (1.61) that corrects one issue relating to camera date and time not being set correctly on cameras not used for an extended period of time. Nikon's update site

Second, DxO PhotoLab 7.3.0 has been fully updated to support the full set of lenses on the Zf camera.

Megadap Version 1.33, and a Lens Update

If you have the ETZ21 lens adapter (Sony E to Nikon Z autofocus), you'll probably want to update the firmware to version 1.33. Not only does this specifically address some new Sony lenses (e.g. 300mm f/2.8) as well as Sigma and Tamron lens AF performance, but it improves battery performance when the camera is off. 

Meanwhile, the 18-140mm f/3.5-6.3 VR DX lens got an update (1.01) to fix a bug that caused video recording to be stopped. 

Which Lenses Got Better, or Worse?

Having had lots of experience with the Z-mount Nikkors now, and as part of my year-end site updating (now basically complete), I made a full pass through my reviews—particularly ratings—tweaking some of them a bit. My overall satisfaction with a number of lenses has changed just a bit with continued use. 

Better

Lenses that I like more now than when I first reviewed them:

  • 50mm f/2.8 MC — This little lens isn't a top performer, but I'm liking it more over time, particularly since it's easy to stuff into a bag, just in case. I'm finding more and more reasons to take it out of the bag.
  • 14-30mm f/4 S — I'm still not 100% comfortable with the absolute corners, which will get munged due to the distortion correction necessary on this lens, but generally for the types of uses I make of this lens, that just never really shows up in my images. 
  • 17-28mm f/2.8 — I liked this lens in my review, and it still is growing on me. Like the previous lens, you need to be careful about corner usage, but the central area is going to be excellent.
  • 24-120mm f/4 S — I found it solid in my review, and it's continued to perform for me. I've gotten to the point where I simply don't care about its small deficiencies. 
  • 400mm f/4.5 VR S — The joy of carrying just overcomes that stop-and-a-third extra exposure necessary. For most of my uses, the change in aperture from my f/2.8 just doesn't show up as busier backgrounds, at least not at the level I'd be concerned with.

Worse

A few lenses seem to be languishing in my use, and it's because I'm no longer enamored by them:

  • 35mm f/1.8 S — One of the first three lenses for the Z-mount, it just seems a little blah for its size now. I keep finding that at around that focal length, I'm opting for the far smaller 40mm f/2 more often, even though it just doesn't hold up in the corners as well.
  • 24-70mm f/4 S — Another of those first three lenses. It's still one of the strongest kit lenses you can get on any system at this focal range, but my use of the 24-120mm f/4 S shows that the modest focal range of the kit lens dulls my opinion of this original zoom somewhat.
  • 24-200mm f/4-6.3 — As Nikon keeps knocking Nikkors out of the park (and some off the wall), this lens just keeps coming up short for me. As a superzoom, it is probably better than most expect, but it's a superzoom, and has all the issues that get intermixed with trying to extend to such a huge focal range. If you're buying it for 200mm, I'd say no these days; you have better options. With the 24-120mm as your primary zoom, get a 70-180mm f/2.8 at some point to give you the longer telephoto range. You'll see the difference at 180mm almost immediately.
  • 100-400mm f/4.5-5.6 VR S — I've specifically knocked this lens down from Highly Recommended to just Recommended. Yeah, that's probably a surprise to most of you. But the 180-600mm pretty much obliterated it at the long end when you look at price/performance at 180-400mm. I'm down to now saying that the 100-400mm belongs in the three-lens, slower aperture kit (e.g. 14-30mm f/4 S, 24-120mm f/4 S, and 100-400mm f/4.5-5.6 VR S; see below). That set takes you through a much more than adequate 14-400mm range in about the best combo you can find. 

Kits

So, speaking of kits, here's what I now tend to say make solid choices as a base zoom kit:

  • Consumer zoom trio: 17-28mm f/2.8, 24-70mm f/4, and 70-180mm f/2.8. Way more competent than you'd expect, and without breaking the bank.
  • Middle zoom trio: 14-30mm f/4 S, 24-120mm f/4 S, and 100-400mm f/4.5-5.6 VR S. Competency defined. 
  • Pro zoom trio: still comprises the three f/2.8 S lenses: 14-24mm, 24-70mm, and 70-200mm. Nothing matches them from corner to corner from 14mm to 200mm, but you pay a price and a weight penalty for that.

You can mix and match if you want, but I find that abilities within each of those three trios are extremely well matched, meaning that you don't have to think about anything moving from one lens to another. 

Nikon Didn't (and Did) Deliver in 2023

Back at the start of the 2023, I published a "wish list" for 2023: three cameras and six lenses I wanted to see during the year. 

Well, the Nikkor team batted zero in 2023, producing none of what I had asked for (sad face). Meanwhile the body team took the easy way out and just gave me firmware updates for the Z9. 

Some, but certainly not all of you are in the same boat with bodies. In 2023 Nikon released the Zf and the Z8, both of which went on to be high volume sellers. But many of you instead wanted a Z6 III or Z7 III, or perhaps a Z70 or Z90, in 2023. 

With lenses, however, many of you did get things you asked for in 2023, including the two fast and absolutely excellent telephoto primes (85mm f/1.2 S and 135mm f/1.8 S Plena, reviews coming), but also advancing the rest of the telephoto lineup with the 70-180mm f/2.8, the 180-600mm f/5.6-6.3 VR, and 600mm f/6.3 VR S. Again, all of those lenses are optically excellent. Also in 2023, DX owners nearly doubled their Nikkor availability, with the meh 24mm f/1.7 and excellent 12-28mm f/3.5-5.6 PZ VR both appearing. 

Ironically, even though Nikon may not have catered to my wishes or yours in 2023, they ended the year clearly in an "up" position. The Z8 really started the year off with a bang that caught the other camera makers by surprise, and the Z8 kept selling in volume right through the end of the year. The Zf—as much as I'm not a fan of the dials—has turned out to have a very positive and well-deserved reception, as well. Despite the fact that I could do with two fewer dials and one extra button, the Zf has made it into my travel bag (in place of a Z6 II). And, of course, the telephoto lens parade now puts Nikon in a position of envy from all E, L, and RF mount users. There's not a dud in the Nikkor telephoto offerings, and the offerings are nicely ranged, with plenty of choices for everyone. 

For sports and wildlife photography, the combo of Z8/Z9 and all those great telephoto lenses puts Nikon in a very strong position starting 2024. Rumors of a Zh for the Olympics—no, any speed camera probably won't have a number—suggest that Nikon may be doubling down in this area (I still want a Z-mount 120-300mm f/2.8 TC VR S, though ;~). It's also possible that Nikon will just forgo a speed camera for now and put out a fifth major firmware update for the Z9. Either would solidify things for that sports/wildlife group.

But let's be clear: the middle of the lineup is where Nikon is currently weakest, while overall market sales in that region tend to be greater. It's the same area where I wanted to see new cameras in 2023 from Nikon. Basically it's the range that would encompass the Z50 II up to a Z7 III; Nikon got weaker against the competition in 2023 in that mid-line region. The Zf was the only new camera to enter that territory, and it's one of those love/hate products. Meanwhile, lenses such as the 24mm f/1.7 DX and 26mm f/2.8 lens aren't exactly resonating with the "middle" crowd, either (though the 70-180mm f/2.8 ought to). 

Nikon finished the year quite happy with how things went, though. I mean grin-on-face happy without going to a sake bar first. Sales were up, profits were up, credibility was up, brand awareness was up, and by locking up five of dpreviews six Reader's Choice Awards, Nikon also got some bragging rights to flaunt as we head into this new year. 

Still, I'm a little disappointed. It wouldn't have taken more than one additional body and perhaps another lens or two from Nikon to really put an exclamation point on 2023. 

Nikon's Never-Ending Naming Nuisance

We've been through this before, and it appears we're going through it again: Nikon's crack marketing team keeps having to walk a fine line with product names. The issue is between legacy naming and present day naming, particularly when either starts hitting limits. 

The first time things truly broke down for Nikon was with the N90 to F100 transition. Up to that point, single digit was a pro model, double digit was a consumer model. Except the N90 straddled that to start with. And then there was the N (North America) versus F (everywhere else) thing. 

You'd think that by the time digital rolled around, someone would have said to themselves "maybe we should rationalize our naming scheme," but instead Nikon just lumbered on. F5 begat D1, F100 begat D100, and N80 begat D70 (gave themselves a little room there, didn't they? ;~). Of course, if you iterate by 10 each successive model, a D90 would eventually have nowhere to go. Which is exactly what happened in 2010. 

Which led us to four digits = consumer, three digits = prosumer, and one digit still indicating pro in the second decade of DSLR. Fortunately, DSLRs started dying out before Nikon could exhaust digits again. 

So why the heck did Nikon change naming strategies with the Z System? Suddenly one digit was full frame, two digits was crop sensor. Of course, at this point 5 through 9 are already taken, which has led Nikon to adding a new II suffix. The problem with that, as Sony has discovered, is that this sort of forces you into iteration upgrades; you can't change the basic definition of the product easily without adding another modifier (as Sony has done with S and R). But then your numbering starts to drift and no longer clearly indicates technical generation across model names correctly.

I'm surprised that Nikon put the 5, 6, and 7 models out so tightly, then had 8 and 9 models filling the final places. I would have though that they would have used the 3, 5, 7 idea initially (e.g. Z3 instead of Z5, Z5 instead of Z6), as that was something they did in DSLRs to give themselves naming room. But perhaps someone argued that using 3/5/7 might get people thinking some were APS-C cameras ;~). Naming just ain't easy.

Meanwhile, the Zfc and now Zf basically are "if it has dials, it's an f." Nikon says the c stands for "casual," but I'm pretty sure it stands for "crop" (or at least the C in APS-C). 

One problem is that it isn't product marketing that's really driving new models, model changes, and model iterations, it's engineering. I've seen this in internal references: R&D tends to refer to the product they're working on with either legacy naming conventions or the term "new model." Thus, while marketing is the one responsible for the ultimate name, they're being caught by R&D's thinking in what's about to become a naming issue.

From more than one source I've gotten the suggestion that Nikon is less interested in just doing mindless iteration of established models at this point, but rather looking for unique model opportunities coupled with targeted iterations of a few current models. As we've seen from the Zfc and Zf, a unique model may actually go outside the numbering schema Nikon established for the Z System. 

Three specific possible future models seem to be impacted by the naming constraints: (1) video; (2) very high speed; and (3) very high pixel count. Each poses a different problem to the naming that was originally established. 

For instance, video. The natural thing to do would be just add a V, as in ZV6. Or perhaps just Zv (to mimic the Zf naming). Unfortunately, Sony beat Nikon to the ZV naming convention, so that would be poor marketing on Nikon's part to attempt to use ZV in any way. Okay, how about just V6? Well, that doesn't say "Z-mount", sounds like an automobile engine, and implies a full video lineup, which I'm not sure Nikon is ready to do. Thus, we're led to something more awkward, such a Z6V. Personally, I'd go with Zc (for cinema). 

The very high speed camera that seems to be in prototype already (or at least a mule that's passed around a bit), really is a pro-centric camera. Or rather, would appeal mostly to some specific pros, such as sports photographers. If you were to put it in a Z9 body (for EN-EL18 battery use) Nikon has a legacy naming path they could use here: Z9h. But what if it's in a "new body"? Oops, it's the Z9.5 (it can't be 10, because then it would be DX crop using Nikon's current naming schema). What I've heard is that there is a thought to just give such a camera a simple letter (as in Zh). 

This opens up a new naming path for Nikon: niche and speciality cameras get letters. 

The curious thing is that if you look at the front of a Z8 or Z9, there's no name identification shown. The trio of other full frame cameras (Z5, Z6, Z7) all use the same basic body, so it makes sense to advertise the model name on the front. The Zfc and Zf don't have any plate space on the top to identify model, so they, too, get the front name splash. But this inconsistency of naming position also is something that Nikon marketing never really resolved.

Naming is always an issue in tech. It's part of how you present the tech to the potential customer. Sony made a bit of a mistake going extreme with Mark Roman constructs. We now have one Sony model that's at Mark VII. By going that route you start to get into the "oh just an iteration" expectation on the part of the potential customer, plus once you get beyond III you have to start explaining roman numerals to some people. Perhaps all that's okay if you keep previous generations on the market at "sale" pricing, but as Nikon once discovered and Sony is now discovering, that just eats your profit margin in order to protect market share. Not a long-term winnable game.

I'm curious to see how Nikon will handle upcoming camera names. I'm guessing that no matter what Nikon may decide to put out as new models in the future, more letter-naming options are coming.

What's in Store for 2024

Lenses are easy: we'll get eight new ones (plus or minus one). Which lenses will be coming is a little more difficult to predict, but let's study the current lineup:

bythom ztimeline2023


What I see (from bottom up) is:

  • f/1.8 primes are missing a few candidates: 14mm, 18mm, 28mm, 105mm, and maybe even 180mm. 
  • f/4 zooms have been dormant for a couple of years and are missing the obvious 70-200mm and F-mount 180-400mm crossover.
  • f/2.8 zooms were an early pro trio, followed by a later consumer trio, but subsequent "fast zooms" by Canon, Sigma, Sony, and Tamron suggest that some other f/2 or f/2.8 focal lengths should be explored besides the traditional ones.
  • The variable aperture convenience lenses (24-50mm, 24-200mm) are lonely, and could use a companion or two.
  • DX is back to its usual "not enough lenses."
  • Macro stalled with just two lenses, leaving longer macro lenses missing.
  • Tele zooms is missing a 70-300mm type lens. Some might argue for a return of the 200-500mm.
  • Compact primes are narrowly aligned between 26mm and 40mm, so extensions outside of that would be welcomed.
  • The Exotic Tele line is missing the 800mm (and technically the 200/300mm position).
  • Phase Fresnel nicely extends the F-mount ones (300/500) with 600/800mm, with the small, light 400mm f/4.5 filling the other gap.
  • The f/1.2 primes are missing the Road Map's 35mm f/1.2. 

Thus there's a lot of ground for Nikon to still explore. Moreover, we haven't yet seen a tilt/shift lens in the Z-mount. 

A wild guess at 2024 might include these eight lenses:

  1. 35mm f/1.2 S finally sees the light of day.
  2. 14mm f/1.8.
  3. One of the F-mount tele zooms (120-300mm f/2.8, 180-400mm f/4) or a Phase Fresnel zoom in that range.
  4. A new fast zoom (e.g. 16-35mm, 20-40mm, 24-105mm).
  5. A tilt/shift lens.
  6. A telephoto macro.
  7. Another variable aperture convenience zoom.
  8. Another DX lens.

However, Nikon has a lot of spots in the chart to fill still, and I note that the Zf really could use something like a 18-35mm variable aperture zoom that's small, and a prime lens or two with aperture rings. Plus, with Nikon promoting video so much in the recent cameras, I can't help but think a video lens lineup has to arrive at some point.

For cameras, I'm going to surprise you: my current expectations are Z50 II, Zh, and Z6 III, as all seem to be far enough along in prototyping progress to elicit specification rumors. Sticking an EXPEED7 chip in a Z50 is low-hanging fruit, and Nikon needs to move that camera to USB-C soon, anyway. A Zh—yes, no number (see this article)—would be Nikon's answer to the Sony A9 Mark III: global shutter, lower pixel count, speed is the primary focus. Finally, a Z6 III really needs to show up to shore up the middle of the lineup. If it comes with a 30mp+ image sensor and pixel shift, it straddles the Z6/Z7 position enough to let the Z7 update wait for a megapixel boost; if it comes with a 24mp image sensor, as is more likely, it needs to somehow straddle the Zf and eventual Zh. 

The good news is simple: the ILC market has come out of its pandemic slump and is once selling over 6m units a year. We appear to have bounced off the bottom and have started attracting new buyers again. On top of that, Nikon beat their expectations in 2023, and by a fair margin. I expect both those things will have Nikon pushing a little harder in 2024 than we saw them do in 2021 and 2022. Note that if I'm right about cameras in 2024, that also means at least two new image sensors being added, though one (Z6 III) might be speed tweaking. 

drop the beat....

Lenses are in the bag, and Nikon's on the rise/
We'll see eight new Nikkors, plus or minus one surprise.
Nikon's playing catch-up, exploring new views/
so here's thom's prediction: here's all the Nikon news/
35 prime with f 1 2 shining bright/
14 prime f 1 8 may also be taking flight/
Zooms, macros, and fast glass are all in the mix/
So Nikon's lens game is ready for the fix.
With the camera market rising, over 6 million strong/
Nikon beats expectations, proving everyone so wrong.
2023 was good but in 24 shipments will be more/
Two new sensors and innovations galore.
EXPEED7 cameras with pixels on the rise/
Nikon's back, and aiming for the skies.

It's a wrap, yo.


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